Kyiv (Washington Insider Magazine)-Fears of Russian nuclear weapons have been greatly exaggerated. Amid the Russia-Ukraine war, the world has been wondering will Russia use nuclear weapons in Ukraine? There are many concerns raised by US President Joe Biden about the possible use of nuclear weapons by the Russians.
US President Joe Biden stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin has given some strong nuclear threats that could amount to the most dangerous situation. Any use of tactical nuclear weapons could lead to serious conditions like ‘Armageddon’.
The officials from the Biden administration told reporters that there is no evidence that Russia is any closer to using nuclear weapons. Biden attempted to highlight the recklessness of Putin’s threats but they will be continuing to send some messages to Moscow.
Russian Nuclear Threat Against Ukraine Are Not Credible
There has been a lot of fear that Russia might use ‘tactical’ nuclear weapons in Ukraine. This has reflected several fundamental, but understandable, misinterpretations of what Putin has threatened. Russia thinks about nuclear weapons could lead to a serious war. It is tempting to believe that Russia’s latest nuclear threats will be directed toward Ukraine.
Russia has annexed territory that it doesn’t own. Putin will also be refraining from issuing a direct nuclear threat. The country will be negotiating with Ukraine and will try to freeze the battlefield. It would also give Russia some time and space to land forces. Russia’s threat against Ukraine is not serious, because if it was then it would have surely been the raid on Belgorod. There is also an attack on Saky Air Base and the bombing of the Kerch Bridge could also lead to regular fighting. This could proceed along the front lines and could be sufficient to trigger retaliation.
Russian Nuclear Threat Is Not Consistent
Russian nuclear threats are not consistent. The Russian nuclear doctrine and force posture doesn’t look serious. There is also a possibility of a small nuclear conflict that will be escalating to a theatre or general war.
Russian force has also been planning a non-strategic nuclear arsenal that would not lead to a serious mission. Russia has seen some non-strategic nuclear use and will be working towards the escalation-prevention scenarios. The near-peer theatre-level conflicts will also pose a threat of violence. This could also prevent the escalating situation.
It is highly unlikely that Russia would use nuclear weapons but there may be some underlying principles of this conclusion that could deal with tactical nuclear weapon use. The doctrine is determinative, and it will give Putin a chance to act contrary to any rational military doctrine. Most analysts expect that there would be the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine and they might have something to gain from doing so.
Read More: What Are The Chances Of Nuclear War? (You Will Get Shocked)
Putin Is Unlikely To Use Nuclear Weapons
Putin is unlikely to take the war nuclear because this could cause a lot of destruction. The drone and cruise missile strikes could land Russia in a problem. There are plenty of powerful conventional weapons that Russia is using to attack Ukraine.
The ongoing conflict between the two countries may push Putin closer to making that fateful choice. However, it is highly unlikely that he will take such a big step. This step could lead to destruction and other nearby countries could also take the fall along with Ukraine. Ukraine is on the offensive and Russia’s conventional military forces have resulted in a chaotic conscription process. A lot of plans are underway and this could pose a serious threat to the world. Putin is likely to face more and more domestic political pressure and this could lead to him not using any nuclear weapons.
His position would get dire, in the future and Putin will have to give up on using any nuclear weapons on Ukraine. This might be to gamble for resurrection as nuclear use could lead to destruction all over the world. It would also upset the political situation all over the world which could lead to disturbance.
If Russia decides to respond with a nuclear strike, then they wouldn’t use weapons in an attack against frontline Ukrainian troops. Some Tactical nukes had been designed originally to make big juicy Cold War-era targets. Some dangerous armored tanks or aircraft carriers were also used to make some serious dangerous attacks. Ukraine’s forces will be spread out and Putin is intending to use a bunch of little nukes. This could create a radioactive mess that his troops would also have to deal with.
