Russia (Washington Insider Magazine) — A U.S. State Department official has reported that Russia has nearly rebuilt its military forces after suffering significant losses in its invasion of Ukraine. Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell stated that Russia has “almost completely reconstituted militarily” over the past few months, signaling a major recovery in its defense capabilities.
This assessment contrasts with statements from the Pentagon and European allies. At a recent Ukraine-support meeting, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin revealed that Russia has incurred over 315,000 casualties while also facing supply shortages exacerbated by diminishing U.S. aid to Ukraine. Despite these challenges, Russian forces have managed to make significant advances, though costly.
Campbell’s remarks are at odds with earlier estimates, including a prediction from Lithuania’s national security committee, which suggested Russia would need five to seven years to fully recover for a large-scale conflict.
Moscow’s success is partly attributed to its surge in defense spending, which has risen to 6% of its GDP in 2024. This increase reflects a broader shift to a wartime economy, with particular emphasis on rebuilding its defense industry. Additionally, China has played a crucial role, assisting Russia in overcoming economic and military setbacks. Both North Korea and Iran have also contributed to Russia’s defense efforts, with China helping to offset the loss of trade from European partners following the invasion.
In response to Russia’s recovery, Ukraine has been pressured to adjust its strategy, including lowering the draft age in a bid to reinforce its ranks amid heavy losses. Ukraine is still awaiting additional U.S. aid, currently stalled in Congress. Without this support, Ukraine continues to face challenges in maintaining ammunition and air defense, although Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. CQ Brown, assured that Ukrainian forces have still managed to hold their ground despite the difficulties.
As Russia’s military reconstitution gains momentum, the dynamics of the ongoing war in Ukraine remain in flux, with increasing pressure on both sides to secure crucial resources.
